Time Series Analysis of Dibrugarh Air Temperature
نویسنده
چکیده
Temperature is one of the main climatic elements that can indicate climate change as climate change seems to be one of the most important issues in the recent two decades. The aim of this research is to study temporal variation in temperature over Dibrugarh city, Assam, India during the period 1981–2010. In this article we are interested in the time series modeling of the average monthly mean temperature. For this data, we will fit the traditional seasonal ARIMA model using Box-Jenkins approach. ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (0, 1, 1) 12 model was found adequate and this model is used to forecast the monthly temperature for the upcoming three years.
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